Thai VI

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Our Views

When we analyze markets, we typically like to identify fundamental factors, including market valuations and earnings growth.  A couple of factors have helped Thailand stand out among the rest of the Asian equity markets. The Thai bourse has been a laggard in the past three years versus its peers, and its valuations have stayed at attractive levels. As at end-November 2006, the estimated PE for the Thai market is at 11.6X and 10.8X respectively, based on estimated earnings figures for 2007 and 2008. The estimated PE for the Thai market became even more attractive at 9.7X and 9.1X in 2007 and 2008, when the capital restrictions came into force on 19 December. However, with the swift recovery of the market, the valuations for 2007 would be hovering around 10X to 10.5X. In 2006, the gloomy market sentiment can be attributed to the political stalemate, but after the interim government took over, it has firmed up policies to boost the economy, including that of infrastructural spending. These factors support a rosy outlook for Thai equities, moving forward.


**** Pertaining to the changes in exchange rate policies,
we think they will lead to short-term volatility,
but based on the Thai market's attractive valuations,

*** we maintain our positive views on the market in the medium-to-long term. ****

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